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Popular pages
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Home & Professional Page
Lecture requests: lectures -at- fooledbyrandomness-dot-com. (Please refrain from offering honorary degrees, awards, listings in "100 most...",& simila...
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N N Taleb's Technical Blog – Probability Flaneuring
Probability Flaneuring
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Probability – N N Taleb's Technical Blog
Financial theory requires correlation to be constant (or, at least, known and nonrandom). Nonrandom means predictable with waning sampling error over the period concerned. Ellipticality is a condit...
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The “Bitcoin, Currencies and Fragility” Paper – N N Taleb's Technical Blog
The main paper Bitcoin, Currencies and Fragility is updated here . The supplementary material is updated here www.fooledbyrandomness.com/BTC-QF-appendix.pdf
- November 2021 – N N Taleb's Technical Blog
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December 2020 – N N Taleb's Technical Blog
The Danish Mask Study presents the interesting probability problem: the odds of getting 5 infections for a group of 2470, vs 0 for one of 2398. It warrants its own test statistic which allows us to lo...